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Baidu CEO Predicts AI Cleverer Than Humans Is “More Than 10 Years Away”

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Robin Li, CEO of Baidu, one of China's leading tech firms, said artificial intelligence smarter than humans is still over a decade away, despite heavyweights like Elon Musk predicting it’ll be much sooner. 

According to different tech leaders, artificial general intelligence (AGI), which denotes AI that matches or surpasses human intelligence, has varying timelines.

Tesla CEO Musk said AGI could be available by 2026. 

Similarly, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman suggested in January that AGI might be developed in the "reasonably close-ish future." 

However, Li said during a talk at the VivaTech conference in Paris that AGI is at least ten years away.

He said: "AGI is still quite a few years away.

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"Today, many people discuss AGI, claiming it could be two years away or perhaps five years away. I believe it is more than ten years away." 

He noted that achieving the level of intelligence where AI matches or exceeds human capabilities remains uncertain.

Li also expressed concern about the pace of AI development. 

"Today, many people discuss AGI, claiming it could be two years away or perhaps five years away. I believe it is more than ten years away" 

He said: "My fear is that AI technology is not advancing fast enough.”

Despite widespread astonishment at recent advancements, Li feels the progress is too slow.

Based on its large language model, Baidu has been actively involved in AI growth, launching its ChatGPT-style chatbot, Ernie.

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Chinese tech giants like Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent are heavily investing in AI, similar to their US counterparts. 

However, Li pointed out a fundamental difference in approach.

While US and European companies focus on developing cutting-edge foundation models, Chinese companies emphasize practical applications of AI technology.

Despite significant investments, Li noted the absence of a breakthrough AI application. 

Li said: "In the mobile age, apps like Instagram, YouTube, and TikTok have hundreds of millions to a billion daily active users.

"For AI-native apps, we don't see that level of user engagement yet, whether in the US, China, or Europe. 

“The question remains, what form will AI-native apps take, and which will reach the 100 million user mark?"

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